in_out_sample = get_backtest("56ba1fe7a8f4861197a211e8")
100% Time: 0:00:02|###########################################################|
in_out_sample.create_full_tear_sheet(live_start_date="2015-08-06", bayesian=True)
Entire data start date: 2015-01-02 Entire data end date: 2016-02-08 Out-of-Sample Months: 6 Backtest Months: 7 Backtest Out_of_Sample All_History annual_return 0.31 0.26 0.30 annual_volatility 0.07 0.16 0.12 sharpe_ratio 3.72 1.56 2.22 calmar_ratio 13.61 3.68 4.15 stability 0.95 0.47 0.93 max_drawdown -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 omega_ratio 1.89 1.35 1.54 sortino_ratio 6.15 2.29 3.35 skewness -0.16 -0.31 -0.37 kurtosis 1.22 5.25 8.65 information_ratio 0.11 0.14 0.13 alpha 0.27 NaN NaN beta 0.09 NaN NaN Worst Drawdown Periods net drawdown in % peak date valley date recovery date duration 0 7.14 2015-11-09 2015-12-14 NaT NaN 1 4.60 2015-09-24 2015-09-28 2015-10-02 7 2 4.28 2015-08-18 2015-08-24 2015-08-27 8 4 2.31 2015-04-24 2015-05-06 2015-05-14 15 3 2.12 2015-10-16 2015-10-27 2015-11-05 15 2-sigma returns daily -0.014 2-sigma returns weekly -0.021 dtype: float64
Stress Events mean min max Fall2015 0.002 -0.043 0.032 New Normal 0.001 -0.043 0.040
Top 10 long positions of all time (and max%) [u'BHI' u'TWC' u'XLE' u'XLY' u'SYY' u'VIPS' u'HUM' u'TRV' u'UNP' u'AMT'] [ 0.719 0.707 0.689 0.607 0.523 0.507 0.49 0.287 0.28 0.236] Top 10 short positions of all time (and max%) [u'XLY' u'KEY' u'TWC' u'XLE' u'VIPS' u'BHI' u'TRV' u'CBS' u'AMT' u'HUM'] [-0.803 -0.664 -0.541 -0.378 -0.343 -0.269 -0.236 -0.214 -0.196 -0.184] Top 10 positions of all time (and max%) [u'XLY' u'BHI' u'TWC' u'XLE' u'KEY' u'SYY' u'VIPS' u'HUM' u'TRV' u'UNP'] [ 0.803 0.719 0.707 0.689 0.664 0.523 0.507 0.49 0.287 0.28 ] All positions ever held [u'XLY' u'BHI' u'TWC' u'XLE' u'KEY' u'SYY' u'VIPS' u'HUM' u'TRV' u'UNP' u'AMT' u'GWW' u'CBS' u'WMT' u'SHPG' u'EXPE' u'PPG' u'SYK' u'LNG' u'POT' u'YELP' u'PANW' u'TIF' u'ALXN' u'GIS' u'AIG' u'HD' u'CAM' u'VRTX' u'CHTR' u'ILMN' u'FXI' u'XLV' u'AET' u'IWF' u'ORCL' u'YUM' u'UNH' u'ETP' u'KMI' u'FEYE' u'ETE' u'COF' u'VTI' u'COH' u'AXP' u'TJX' u'FB' u'BRK_B' u'FAS' u'CTL' u'RIO' u'DD' u'MYL' u'CMI' u'SWN' u'ESRX' u'GD' u'EWW' u'EIX' u'CAH' u'IJH' u'BSX' u'OXY' u'WMB' u'MNK' u'CRM' u'ZG' u'BBY' u'EXC' u'SPXU' u'LEN' u'GILD' u'ADBE' u'ITUB' u'CI' u'UA' u'CB' u'BBD' u'PCP' u'DIA' u'KORS' u'JNJ' u'STJ' u'P' u'MCK' u'SSO' u'GE' u'UPRO' u'KRFT' u'BP' u'IVV' u'SHW' u'EWZ' u'REGN' u'MA' u'SSYS' u'BEAV' u'MSI' u'KR' u'EWJ' u'BIIB' u'SUNE' u'XRT' u'SDS' u'EBAY' u'UAL' u'SDRL' u'SBUX' u'PG' u'TSN' u'LMT' u'FOXA' u'AGG' u'ZBH' u'ADP' u'EPD' u'GPRO' u'EWG' u'LBTY_K' u'LQD' u'DAL' u'VFC' u'PSX' u'EQIX' u'XLB' u'CELG' u'PXD' u'BDX' u'AAL' u'PRGO' u'SYF' u'PH' u'CMCS_A' u'CMCS_K' u'DIS' u'AVGO' u'YHOO' u'EMR' u'CMG' u'BIDU' u'NSC' u'AMP' u'GOOG_L' u'CVX' u'OIH' u'GOOG' u'XOM' u'MON' u'ETN' u'MMM' u'MTB' u'KSS' u'EWY' u'STZ' u'MAR' u'AMGN' u'UWTI' u'F'] [ 0.803 0.719 0.707 0.689 0.664 0.523 0.507 0.49 0.287 0.28 0.236 0.234 0.214 0.182 0.18 0.172 0.165 0.159 0.156 0.153 0.15 0.148 0.142 0.138 0.135 0.134 0.134 0.133 0.128 0.126 0.125 0.124 0.124 0.119 0.117 0.116 0.116 0.115 0.114 0.112 0.11 0.109 0.109 0.109 0.108 0.108 0.108 0.106 0.106 0.105 0.103 0.103 0.102 0.1 0.099 0.098 0.098 0.098 0.097 0.096 0.095 0.095 0.093 0.093 0.092 0.092 0.092 0.092 0.092 0.091 0.091 0.091 0.091 0.091 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.089 0.089 0.089 0.088 0.088 0.087 0.087 0.086 0.085 0.084 0.084 0.083 0.083 0.083 0.082 0.082 0.082 0.081 0.081 0.08 0.08 0.079 0.079 0.078 0.078 0.078 0.078 0.077 0.077 0.077 0.077 0.075 0.075 0.073 0.073 0.073 0.073 0.073 0.072 0.071 0.07 0.07 0.068 0.068 0.067 0.066 0.064 0.064 0.063 0.063 0.062 0.062 0.061 0.061 0.061 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.058 0.055 0.055 0.053 0.051 0.051 0.051 0.049 0.049 0.049 0.047 0.046 0.046 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.042 0.041 0.035 0.029 0.027 0.022]
Running T model [-----------------100%-----------------] 2000 of 2000 complete in 3.0 sec
INFO (theano.gof.compilelock): Refreshing lock /home/qexec-restricted/.theano/compiledir_Linux-3.13--generic-x86_64-with-Ubuntu-14.04-trusty-x86_64-2.7.11-64/lock_dir/lock
Finished T model (required 31.23 seconds). Running BEST model [-----------------100%-----------------] 2000 of 2000 complete in 7.8 sec Finished BEST model (required 45.86 seconds). Finished plotting Bayesian cone (required 0.18 seconds). Finished plotting BEST results (required 0.81 seconds). Finished computing Bayesian predictions (required 0.14 seconds). Finished plotting Bayesian VaRs estimate (required 0.05 seconds).
/usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/matplotlib/axes/_axes.py:475: UserWarning: No labelled objects found. Use label='...' kwarg on individual plots. warnings.warn("No labelled objects found. " INFO (theano.gof.compilelock): Refreshing lock /home/qexec-restricted/.theano/compiledir_Linux-3.13--generic-x86_64-with-Ubuntu-14.04-trusty-x86_64-2.7.11-64/lock_dir/lock
Running alpha beta model [-----------------100%-----------------] 2000 of 2000 complete in 3.5 sec Finished running alpha beta model (required 58.42 seconds). Finished plotting alpha beta model (required 0.16 seconds). Total runtime was 136.85 seconds.