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Shorting treasuries in premarket

I've noticed with amazing consistency that wherever TLT is up 1/3 or more percent in the morning before the opening (3AM-6:30 AM) PST bell , it gets faded. 95% of the time it goes completely flat or negative by the end of the day. Anyone want to run a test, be my guest. The problem is it uses premarket quotes, but I suppose the /ZN, /UB and /ZB futures would suffice