Hi,
I had been a fairly active participant in the Wealthlab community till about 3 years ago, when life decided to pull me in a different direction. Then last week I try to login there and the website and the looks are completely different. So, I was looking for a similar site, when I saw this site mentioned in Barron's this week and decided to give it a try. My programming skills are rusty at best, so I need some help.
Here is the strategy. I don't remember where i saw it, but I wrote it down and am writing it from my notes. I wish I had the source written so I could give credit to where credit is due.
I am using two sectors to be held. I will list the ETFs to be used below. There are a few overlaps in the ETFs (eg. healthcare and biotech - IYH and IBB), but if a sector is doing very well, then it maybe worth just piling on to it.
Please note, ROC = rate of change = [(Close - Close n periods ago) / (Close n periods ago)] * 100
X= Delay Period, which hopefully means will avoid sectors that are peaking.
For this case, I am looking at 120 day ROC, but for buying purposes, I will look at the 120 day ROC of ETFs 20 days ago.
The strategy is long only and is simply stated as-
1. At the end of each month, RANK the group of ETFs based on their ROC(n=120 Day), X(20 days back).
2. At the open of the 1st trading day of each month, BUY the Top 2 ETFs, except if they closed below their 120 day moving average. In such case, buy TLT (long-term Treasury bonds) instead.
3. Repeat every month.
ETF universe consists of the following:
TLT
IYC
ITB
IYK
IYE
IYF
IBB
IYH
IYJ
IYW
IYM
IYZ
IDU
ICLN
IGF
IYR
IFGL
Thank you for your help.
Maji