I'm thinking about it as another version of stock-picking cat experiment. (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cat-pick-stocks-better-most-192600625.html)
We can't control the direction of the price and the only 3 things that we can control are the entry, side of the trade and exit. I'm thinking about randomizing the first two since it's a really hard task to work out a more or less OK algorithm not to mention a good one. While entry and the side of the "bet" hypothetically can be random the exit should not. The exit strategy for the algorithm is as follows: to fix the relationship between profit and loss levels with a ratio of 3:1 (or any other favorable ratio).
This approach itself brings a lot of further questions:
- What should be the size of the universe ?
- What should the allocation for each trade be
- How to set the levels of P&L?
- Should there be a horizon for any trade if it does not hit any of the price levels ?
- Should the size of the allocation also be random?
.......
I don't have the algorithm yet.