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My First Tearsheet - Low vol / constant growth strategy

This notebook is insane.. love it. Here is a strategy i'm working on that I think would meet "hedge fund" goals. The idea is to have constant growth with the smallest drawdown possible. The algo trades monthly, is long only, and does not use leverage. It trades the 9 SP500 sector ETFs and does a pretty good job of staying out of trouble!

7 responses

Nice!

Looks like a sector rotation with a risk-off switch ...

Thanks, Simon.

Paul, that's basically correct. I think the downside is minimized because the algo only trades when the sector is within 1 stdv of its rolling mean.. The moment the sector is out of that range the position is closed.

Very compelling algo Jamie. Quite remarkable how well it stays out of trouble given its a long-only strategy. Have you tested any approaches that also consider going short? Perhaps short a couple of ETF's in conjunction with the longs? It might add extra P/L during the flat periods of the long only approach

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Thanks Justin,

That's something I've been trying to implement. I did however add logic to trade TLT once all sector positions are closed. Definitely improved performance and didn't really add to drawdown or vol.

I've attached a link to the notebook here: http://www.slideshare.net/JamieLunn1/z-sector-arb

Results are pretty good.
Only issue is it is long only which Q might not be very keen on looking at.

I have seen similar result in TLT/GLD/SPY long only rotation here
https://www.quantopian.com/posts/meb-fabers-3-way-system

I was wondering if research environment have something to compare 2 strategies .

Yes , you can load the results of two backtests and compare them . One way is to plot them both.