I will be starting an investment firm this year for clients that are close to retirement. The main focus will be on low max drawdowns with "stock market like" returns. Below is the best algo that I could come up with that trades monthly (credit given to CSSAnalytics & David Varadi in the source code). It is a blend of percentile channel trading (monthly) that is adjusted for by the volatility of the asset, mixed with 50% core ETF assets that do not change.
This algo looks good for the long term, however, in the last 5 years it has underperformed too much for this to be my go-to strategy. After this post, I will post the last 5 years backtest.
Goals:
- Trade monthly or quarterly
- Keep long term max drawdown as low as possible (under 16%, closer to 10% would be preferred)
- Long only
- Stock market like returns
- Low calendar year losses